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Blue Jays (+267) at Yankees (-322)
Over/Under: 9.5 (-117/-102)
Game Pick: Yankees (Probablity Correct: 76.22%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 62.73%) CORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | 3 | 9 | 0 |
| Yankees | 8 | 7 | 0 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Sep 22, 2019 03:32:22 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 23.78%
Prob Home Team Wins: 76.22%
Average Comb Score: 11.68
Median Comb Score: 11.00
Std Comb Score: 5.09
Prob Over: 62.73%
Prob Under: 37.27%
Blue Jays Forecasted to Lose at Home to Yankees Despite Bo Bichette's Effort
Sun, Sep 22, 2019 | Emma Botos
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Arturo Pardavila III on Flickr License
September 22, 2019 -- On the road, the Blue Jays has a 66.78% chance to lose to the Yankees from our Snoozle montecarlo model.
Likely starting pitcher for the Blue Jays, Trent Thornton, will be paired with the hosting Yankees's pitcher Luis Severino. The Blue Jays's Trent Thornton is predicted to throw for 6.114 innings, allowing 3.465 earned runs, with 6.469 Ks. Our model forecasts the Yankees pitcher will have an outing for 6.662 innings, allowing 2.367 earned runs, with a 3.124 walks.
Expected in today's lineup will be top hitters Bo Bichette and Giovanny Urshela from Blue Jays and Yankees, respectively. According to our game model, Bo Bichette is estimated to have 0.558 RBIs and score 0.723 runs over an estimated 4.587 at-bats. Based on the Snoozle model, Giovanny Urshela is predicted to have 0.828 RBIs and score 0.722 runs over an estimated 4.198 at-bats.
For this game the Blue Jays are the best value on the money line bets with on the +267 away odds and a predicted 33.22% likelihood to win. According to prediction model the 67.72% over estimate and -117 line odds for 9.5 runs, the over line is the best value.
Posted at Sun, September 22, 2019 13:05:38 UTC
Blue Jays Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy McKinney (RF) | 4.41 | 0.47 | 0.89 | 0.36 | 0.31 | 0.197 | 0.253 | 0.371 |
| Cavan Biggio (2B) | 3.91 | 0.54 | 0.89 | 0.38 | 0.73 | 0.223 | 0.343 | 0.407 |
| Randal Grichuk (CF) | 4.26 | 0.48 | 0.95 | 0.52 | 0.25 | 0.218 | 0.265 | 0.429 |
| Justin Smoak (DH) | 3.66 | 0.51 | 0.73 | 0.43 | 0.71 | 0.194 | 0.328 | 0.378 |
| Reese McGuire (C) | 3.99 | 0.53 | 1.22 | 0.62 | 0.32 | 0.300 | 0.349 | 0.536 |
| Rowdy Tellez (1B) | 3.90 | 0.38 | 0.82 | 0.51 | 0.28 | 0.205 | 0.267 | 0.399 |
| Richard Urena (SS) | 3.97 | 0.24 | 1.00 | 0.26 | 0.11 | 0.244 | 0.262 | 0.316 |
| Brandon Drury (3B) | 3.80 | 0.33 | 0.81 | 0.40 | 0.21 | 0.207 | 0.248 | 0.357 |
| Derek Fisher (LF) | 3.35 | 0.38 | 0.53 | 0.39 | 0.54 | 0.154 | 0.268 | 0.357 |
Yankees Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ LeMahieu (2B) | 4.96 | 0.94 | 1.75 | 0.81 | 0.43 | 0.346 | 0.398 | 0.548 |
| Aaron Judge (DH) | 4.42 | 0.95 | 1.28 | 0.85 | 0.84 | 0.284 | 0.401 | 0.555 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (LF) | 4.42 | 0.91 | 1.37 | 0.88 | 0.74 | 0.304 | 0.406 | 0.565 |
| Luke Voit (1B) | 4.25 | 0.85 | 1.26 | 0.82 | 0.76 | 0.290 | 0.406 | 0.512 |
| Brett Gardner (CF) | 4.42 | 0.80 | 1.24 | 0.95 | 0.52 | 0.275 | 0.355 | 0.550 |
| Giovanny Urshela (3B) | 4.53 | 0.80 | 1.57 | 0.91 | 0.28 | 0.338 | 0.382 | 0.577 |
| Cameron Maybin (RF) | 4.14 | 0.72 | 1.30 | 0.72 | 0.61 | 0.305 | 0.393 | 0.513 |
| Austin Romine (C) | 4.42 | 0.63 | 1.34 | 0.71 | 0.23 | 0.298 | 0.331 | 0.461 |
| Tyler Wade (SS) | 3.92 | 0.62 | 1.13 | 0.55 | 0.52 | 0.282 | 0.367 | 0.425 |
Blue Jays Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent Thornton | 19.46 | 7.07 | 3.57 | 0.23 | 3.79 | 5.94 | 22.75% |
Yankees Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Severino | 22.39 | 7.96 | 2.90 | 0.15 | 1.98 | 6.93 | 74.30% |
Blue Jays Get Blownout by Yankees, 3-8
Sun, Sep 22, 2019 | Emma Botos
OF, Brett Gardner of the New York Yankees
Keith Allison License
September 22, 2019 -- The visiting Blue Jays lose to the home town Yankees 3 to 8 in bad loss.
Aaron Judge DH led the Yankees in hitting against the Blue Jays's pitching. The hitter had a 0.538 slugging in the game. He had 0 Ks at the plate against the Blue Jays. He had a 0.385 OBP with 4 at bats. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.275. His team's best hitter had 1 RBI and scored 2 runs in the game.
Slugger Brett Gardner's leadership helped the Yankees against Blue Jays. He had a game batting average of 0.254. Leading the team in slugging for the season, Brett Gardner had a 0.507 slugging percentage. With 4 at bats, he had a game 0.330 OBP.
Slugger Randal Grichuk could not achieve the Blue Jays road win over the Yankees's pitching. He had a 0.459 slugging percentage in the game. With 3 at bats, Randal Grichuk had a 0.283 OBP. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.235.
Posted at Sun, September 22, 2019 20:32:24 UTC
Blue Jays Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy McKinney (RF) | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0.214 | 0.270 | 0.420 |
| Cavan Biggio (2B) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.236 | 0.359 | 0.430 |
| Randal Grichuk (CF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.235 | 0.283 | 0.459 |
| Justin Smoak (DH) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.204 | 0.339 | 0.400 |
| Reese McGuire (C) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.318 | 0.368 | 0.557 |
| Rowdy Tellez (1B) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.219 | 0.285 | 0.429 |
| Richard Urena (SS) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.270 | 0.303 | 0.349 |
| Brandon Drury (3B) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.221 | 0.263 | 0.383 |
| Derek Fisher (LF) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.185 | 0.295 | 0.363 |
Yankees Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ LeMahieu (2B) | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0.329 | 0.377 | 0.523 |
| Aaron Judge (DH) | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0.275 | 0.385 | 0.538 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (LF) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.293 | 0.412 | 0.512 |
| Luke Voit (1B) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.270 | 0.383 | 0.476 |
| Brett Gardner (CF) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0.254 | 0.330 | 0.507 |
| Giovanny Urshela (3B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.316 | 0.356 | 0.535 |
| Cameron Maybin (RF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.284 | 0.366 | 0.480 |
| Austin Romine (C) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.277 | 0.307 | 0.427 |
| Tyler Wade (SS) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.259 | 0.344 | 0.388 |