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Rockies (+135) at Diamondbacks (-145)
Over/Under: 10.0 (+100/-120)
Game Pick: Diamondbacks (Probablity Correct: 76.13%) CORRECT
Over/Under Pick: UNDER (Probablity Correct: 50.69%) INCORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rockies | 7 | 13 | 2 |
| Diamondbacks | 8 | 9 | 1 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 20, 2019 10:31:54 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 23.87%
Prob Home Team Wins: 76.13%
Average Comb Score: 10.89
Median Comb Score: 10.00
Std Comb Score: 4.88
Prob Over: 49.31%
Prob Under: 50.69%
Visiting Rockies Hurler Kyle Freeland Predicted Loser Against Diamondbacks
Tue, Aug 20, 2019 | Emma Botos
Kyle Freeland of the Colorado Rockies delivers a pitch at Coors Field in October 2017.
Jennifer Linnea on Flickr License
August 20, 2019 -- The Rockies predicted with a 74.68% chance to chalk up a road loss against the Diamondbacks based on the Snoozle Sports model
On the mound for the Rockies will be Kyle Freeland matched up against Alex Young. The Rockies starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 20.097 outs, allow 3.502 earned runs, and a 0.002 probability of a complete game. Our model forecasts the Diamondbacks pitcher will have an outing for 7.043 innings, allowing 1.912 earned runs, with a 2.052 walks.
Expected in today's lineup will be top hitters Charlie Blackmon and Carson Kelly from Rockies and Diamondbacks, respectively. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Charlie Blackmon is predicted to bat for 0.273 with 0.483 RBIs and 0.597 runs scored. According to our game model, Carson Kelly is estimated to bring in 0.820 RBIs and 0.762 runs scored, with an 0.383 OBP and 0.901 K.
Based on the -140 odds and an estimated 74.68% chance to win, the Diamondbacks are the best value for the money line. With a predicted 54.78% likelihood and -105 odds at 9.5 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Tue, August 20, 2019 13:04:08 UTC
Rockies Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raimel Tapia (RF) | 4.53 | 0.50 | 1.16 | 0.37 | 0.23 | 0.251 | 0.286 | 0.393 |
| Trevor Story (SS) | 4.23 | 0.60 | 1.10 | 0.58 | 0.36 | 0.253 | 0.318 | 0.496 |
| Nolan Arenado (3B) | 4.15 | 0.52 | 1.14 | 0.62 | 0.36 | 0.268 | 0.328 | 0.493 |
| Daniel Murphy (1B) | 4.14 | 0.41 | 1.03 | 0.44 | 0.28 | 0.244 | 0.291 | 0.398 |
| Ian Desmond (LF) | 4.02 | 0.42 | 0.94 | 0.47 | 0.29 | 0.227 | 0.280 | 0.417 |
| Ryan McMahon (2B) | 3.80 | 0.39 | 0.92 | 0.46 | 0.43 | 0.235 | 0.311 | 0.410 |
| Yonathan Daza (CF) | 3.89 | 0.22 | 0.71 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 0.177 | 0.222 | 0.235 |
| Tony Wolters (C) | 3.65 | 0.27 | 0.92 | 0.22 | 0.29 | 0.245 | 0.308 | 0.313 |
| Kyle Freeland (P) | 3.53 | 0.24 | 0.61 | 0.15 | 0.28 | 0.167 | 0.222 | 0.211 |
Diamondbacks Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte (CF) | 4.75 | 0.99 | 1.68 | 0.84 | 0.52 | 0.348 | 0.416 | 0.625 |
| David Peralta (LF) | 4.65 | 0.83 | 1.43 | 0.66 | 0.47 | 0.299 | 0.372 | 0.505 |
| Eduardo Escobar (3B) | 4.61 | 0.82 | 1.38 | 0.93 | 0.45 | 0.293 | 0.358 | 0.567 |
| Christian Walker (1B) | 4.31 | 0.78 | 1.26 | 0.82 | 0.59 | 0.285 | 0.377 | 0.526 |
| Wilmer Flores (2B) | 4.50 | 0.71 | 1.56 | 0.79 | 0.28 | 0.338 | 0.387 | 0.516 |
| Adam Jones (RF) | 4.38 | 0.66 | 1.35 | 0.70 | 0.28 | 0.300 | 0.351 | 0.479 |
| Nick Ahmed (SS) | 4.17 | 0.68 | 1.25 | 0.69 | 0.45 | 0.293 | 0.364 | 0.496 |
| Carson Kelly (C) | 3.90 | 0.79 | 1.14 | 0.85 | 0.60 | 0.285 | 0.383 | 0.596 |
| Alex Young (P) | 4.09 | 0.56 | 1.08 | 0.54 | 0.30 | 0.259 | 0.312 | 0.386 |
Rockies Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Freeland | 19.88 | 6.14 | 2.88 | 0.34 | 3.63 | 6.09 | 23.53% |
Diamondbacks Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Young | 22.48 | 6.45 | 2.23 | 0.14 | 2.08 | 6.94 | 74.40% |
Hurler Alex Young Leads Diamondbacks Over Rockies, 8-7
Wed, Aug 21, 2019 | Emma Botos
Trevor Story
Jennifer Zambrano on Flickr (Original version) UCinternational (Crop) License
August 20, 2019 -- The Diamondbacks squeeze out win against the Rockies in a 8 to 7 victory at home.
Starting at home, Alex Young helped lead the Diamondbacks to a win. He gave up 3 earned runs over 6.0 innings pitched. The Diamondbacks starter allowed 7 hits and 1 walk. He pitched for 4 Ks. A 4.04 ERA and 0.287 OBP in the appearance against Rockies.
Nolan Arenado led the Rockies in hitting against the Diamondbacks's pitching. His team's best hitter had 2 RBI and scored 1 run in the game. At the plate, he had 0 strikeouts. In 5 at bats, the hitter had a 0.361 OBP. He had a game slugging percentage of 0.557. He had a 0.302 batting average in the game.
Posted at Wed, August 21, 2019 13:05:15 UTC
Rockies Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raimel Tapia (RF) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.289 | 0.326 | 0.444 |
| Trevor Story (SS) | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0.296 | 0.362 | 0.573 |
| Nolan Arenado (3B) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.302 | 0.361 | 0.557 |
| Daniel Murphy (1B) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.284 | 0.332 | 0.464 |
| Ian Desmond (LF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.259 | 0.316 | 0.468 |
| Ryan McMahon (2B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.269 | 0.350 | 0.469 |
| Yonathan Daza (CF) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.152 | 0.188 | 0.152 |
| Tony Wolters (C) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.281 | 0.345 | 0.356 |
| Kyle Freeland (P) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.087 | 0.192 | 0.087 |
Diamondbacks Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte (CF) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.319 | 0.380 | 0.569 |
| David Peralta (LF) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.279 | 0.346 | 0.468 |
| Eduardo Escobar (3B) | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0.271 | 0.326 | 0.528 |
| Christian Walker (1B) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.257 | 0.344 | 0.470 |
| Wilmer Flores (2B) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.307 | 0.353 | 0.466 |
| Adam Jones (RF) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.270 | 0.317 | 0.431 |
| Nick Ahmed (SS) | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0.273 | 0.333 | 0.468 |
| Carson Kelly (C) | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0.257 | 0.353 | 0.538 |
| Alex Young (P) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.067 | 0.067 | 0.067 |