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Brewers (-110) at Cardinals (+100)
Over/Under: 9.5 (-115/-105)
Game Pick: Brewers (Probablity Correct: 77.52%) INCORRECT
Over/Under Pick: OVER (Probablity Correct: 63.52%) CORRECT
| Final | R | H | E |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | 4 | 12 | 0 |
| Cardinals | 9 | 10 | 0 |
Last simulation of 10000 runs updated Aug 20, 2019 09:32:21 EST
Starting lineup confirmed
Prob Away Team Wins: 77.52%
Prob Home Team Wins: 22.48%
Average Comb Score: 11.74
Median Comb Score: 11.00
Std Comb Score: 5.14
Prob Over: 63.52%
Prob Under: 36.48%
Brewers's Starting Hurler Gio Gonzalez with a Forecasted Win Over the Cardinals
Tue, Aug 20, 2019 | Emma Botos
Cardinal Hurler Michael Wacha in 2017.
Johnmaxmena2 License
August 20, 2019 -- In a probable pitching match up between Gio Gonzalez and Michael Wacha, the Brewers has an predicted 77.92% chance for a road over the Cardinals.
Likely starting pitcher for the Brewers, Gio Gonzalez, will be paired with the hosting Cardinals's pitcher Michael Wacha. The Brewers starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.888 outs, allow 2.233 earned runs, and a 0.016 probability of a complete game. Our model forecasts the Cardinals pitcher will have an outing for 5.889 innings, allowing 3.836 earned runs, with a 4.023 walks.
The Brewers's Keston Hiura and the Cardinals's Marcell Ozuna will slug it out from the plate. The Brewers's Keston Hiura from the plate is forecast to score 0.890 runs, 1.083 RBIs and have a 0.424 OBP. Marcell Ozuna is forecast to bat for 0.248 with 0.634 RBIs and 0.556 runs scored.
For this game Brewers are the best value on the money line bets with on the -105 away odds and a predicted 77.92% likelihood to win. According to prediction model the 66.04% over estimate and -110 line odds for 10.0 runs, the over line is the best value.
Posted at Tue, August 20, 2019 13:04:08 UTC
Brewers Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Cain (CF) | 4.86 | 0.91 | 1.43 | 0.49 | 0.52 | 0.289 | 0.364 | 0.414 |
| Yasmani Grandal (C) | 4.32 | 1.10 | 1.28 | 0.76 | 0.95 | 0.290 | 0.423 | 0.534 |
| Christian Yelich (RF) | 4.40 | 1.20 | 1.68 | 1.35 | 0.76 | 0.375 | 0.474 | 0.780 |
| Keston Hiura (2B) | 4.54 | 0.94 | 1.63 | 1.15 | 0.47 | 0.352 | 0.426 | 0.659 |
| Ryan Braun (LF) | 4.55 | 0.77 | 1.49 | 1.04 | 0.37 | 0.320 | 0.380 | 0.565 |
| Eric Thames (1B) | 4.12 | 0.72 | 1.22 | 0.87 | 0.70 | 0.289 | 0.403 | 0.560 |
| Hernan Perez (3B) | 4.50 | 0.55 | 1.28 | 0.72 | 0.29 | 0.278 | 0.321 | 0.447 |
| Orlando Arcia (SS) | 4.20 | 0.56 | 1.13 | 0.64 | 0.48 | 0.263 | 0.338 | 0.428 |
| Gio Gonzalez (P) | 3.68 | 0.46 | 0.63 | 0.19 | 0.86 | 0.165 | 0.318 | 0.165 |
Cardinals Predicted Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | H | RBI | BB | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dexter Fowler (RF) | 4.22 | 0.58 | 1.01 | 0.42 | 0.53 | 0.235 | 0.331 | 0.400 |
| Tommy Edman (3B) | 4.52 | 0.49 | 1.20 | 0.46 | 0.17 | 0.258 | 0.289 | 0.405 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (1B) | 4.12 | 0.56 | 1.04 | 0.60 | 0.46 | 0.247 | 0.323 | 0.453 |
| Marcell Ozuna (LF) | 4.03 | 0.55 | 1.01 | 0.62 | 0.46 | 0.244 | 0.321 | 0.478 |
| Paul DeJong (SS) | 3.94 | 0.46 | 0.94 | 0.52 | 0.38 | 0.233 | 0.311 | 0.434 |
| Yadier Molina (C) | 4.14 | 0.31 | 1.00 | 0.35 | 0.13 | 0.235 | 0.262 | 0.326 |
| Kolten Wong (2B) | 3.68 | 0.37 | 0.97 | 0.37 | 0.38 | 0.257 | 0.343 | 0.377 |
| Harrison Bader (CF) | 3.50 | 0.34 | 0.67 | 0.33 | 0.45 | 0.186 | 0.298 | 0.323 |
| Michael Wacha (P) | 3.59 | 0.22 | 0.69 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.186 | 0.216 | 0.203 |
Brewers Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gio Gonzalez | 21.97 | 6.62 | 2.57 | 0.38 | 2.18 | 6.77 | 75.73% |
Cardinals Pitching Predicted Performance
| Player | Outs | K | BB | HBP | ER | IP | W % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha | 19.33 | 7.09 | 3.82 | 0.37 | 3.85 | 5.91 | 20.44% |
Brewers Hurler Gio Gonzalez Effort Not Enough Against Cardinals, 4-9
Wed, Aug 21, 2019 | Emma Botos
Christian Yelich with the Milwaukee Brewers
Ian D'Andrea License
August 20, 2019 -- The Brewers get blownout to the Cardinals 4 to 9 on the road.
Starting on the road, Gio Gonzalez's performance could not help the Brewers. The Brewers pitcher threw for 3 hits and 4 walks allowed. A 3.64 ERA and 0.308 OBP in the appearance against the Cardinals. The Cardinals had 6 strikeouts against Gio Gonzalez.
Cardinals were led on hitting by Marcell Ozuna. The hitter had a 0.501 slugging in the game. At the plate, the hitter had 0 strikeouts. The hitter had a 0.338 OBP with 5 at bats.
Slugger Christian Yelich could not achieve the Brewers road win over the Cardinals's pitching. On the road, he had 0 RBI and scored 1 run. In the game, he had a batting average of 0.333. Christian Yelich had a 0.424 OBP with 5 at bats.
Posted at Wed, August 21, 2019 03:32:40 UTC
Brewers Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorenzo Cain (CF) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.254 | 0.321 | 0.361 |
| Yasmani Grandal (C) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.254 | 0.376 | 0.467 |
| Christian Yelich (RF) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.333 | 0.424 | 0.693 |
| Keston Hiura (2B) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.305 | 0.374 | 0.572 |
| Ryan Braun (LF) | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0.286 | 0.341 | 0.500 |
| Eric Thames (1B) | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0.254 | 0.357 | 0.492 |
| Hernan Perez (3B) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.241 | 0.278 | 0.376 |
| Orlando Arcia (SS) | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0.228 | 0.292 | 0.368 |
| Gio Gonzalez (P) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.000 | 0.059 | 0.000 |
Cardinals Hitters Performance
| Player | AB | R | RBI | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dexter Fowler (RF) | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0.250 | 0.348 | 0.427 |
| Tommy Edman (3B) | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0.265 | 0.299 | 0.416 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (1B) | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.258 | 0.334 | 0.471 |
| Marcell Ozuna (LF) | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0.261 | 0.338 | 0.501 |
| Paul DeJong (SS) | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0.247 | 0.326 | 0.456 |
| Yadier Molina (C) | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0.253 | 0.282 | 0.351 |
| Kolten Wong (2B) | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0.274 | 0.358 | 0.402 |
| Harrison Bader (CF) | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0.198 | 0.319 | 0.351 |
| Michael Wacha (P) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.172 | 0.172 | 0.207 |