Yordan Alvarez's Stick is Forecast to Not Be Enough to Pull the Home Favorite Astros Over the Athletics

Mon, Sep 9, 2019 | Emma Botos


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September 9, 2019 -- The Astros under perform at home with a 54.29% chance to lose against the Athletics based on our model.

Probable starting pitchers Zack Greinke and Mike Fiers duel it out for the Astros and Athletics, respectively. The Astros starting hurler is predicted to throw for 21.337 outs, allow 2.554 earned runs, and a 0.009 probability of a complete game. The Athletics's Mike Fiers is predicted to throw for 6.623 innings, allowing 2.427 earned runs, with 5.807 Ks.

The Astros's Yordan Alvarez and the Athletics's Matt Olson will duel it out from the batter's box. According to our game model, Yordan Alvarez is estimated to bring in 0.809 RBIs and 0.630 runs scored, with an 0.372 OBP and 1.161 K. Matt Olson is forecast to bring in 0.765 RBIs and 0.686 runs scored, with an 0.358 OBP and 1.143 Ks.

The Athletics are the best value for the money line based on the +160 odds and a forecasted 54.29% win estimate. Based on the prediction model's over 50.36% likelihood and +100 odds, the over line with 9.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Mon, September 9, 2019 13:03:53 UTC