Yankees Predicted to Fall at Home to Astros Despite Aaron Judge's Effort

Fri, Oct 18, 2019 | Emma Botos


Justin Verlander ready to throw his pitch, March 2, 2019
D. Benjamin Miller License

October 18, 2019 -- The Yankees have a 82.33% likelihood to fall to the Astros with a based on our model.

The hosting Yankees have James Paxton in the rotation against the Astros's pitcher Justin Verlander. Our model forecasts the Yankees pitcher will have an outing for 6.258 innings, allowing 3.120 earned runs, with a 3.277 walks. The Snoozle model estimates the Astros pitcher will have an outing for 7.523 innings, allowing 1.205 earned runs, with 2.037 walks.

Hitters Aaron Judge from the Yankees and Yordan Alvarez from the Astros will lead the offense for their teams. The Yankees's Aaron Judge is estimated to score 0.371 run, 0.344 RBIs and have a 0.278 OBP. Yordan Alvarez is forecast to bring in 0.873 RBIs and 0.790 runs scored, with an 0.400 OBP and 1.182 Ks.

For this game the Astros are the best value on the money line bets with on the -143 away odds and a predicted 82.33% likelihood to win. According to prediction model the 63.39% over estimate and -115 line odds for 7.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Fri, October 18, 2019 07:10:17 MST