Yankees Hurler Lance Lynn Predicted Loser Against Underdog Rangers

Sun, Sep 29, 2019 | Emma Botos


Chad Green of the New York Yankees delivers a pitch during a 2017 game at Camden Yards in Baltimore
Keith Allison: Flickr, e-mail, Twitter, Instagram, website License

September 29, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle MLB model, the Yankees are likely to fail on the road with a 55.81% chance of being correct against the Rangers.

This game is a match up between the Yankees's Chad Green and the Rangers's Lance Lynn. The Yankees starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 20.182 outs, allow 3.390 earned runs, and a 0.004 probability of a complete game. Lance Lynn is estimated from the model to throw for 6.494 innings, allowing 2.655 earned runs, with 6.900 Ks.

Expected in today's lineup will be top hitters Gleyber Torres and Willie Calhoun from Yankees and Rangers, respectively. According to our game model, Gleyber Torres is estimated to have 0.738 RBIs and score 0.623 runs over an estimated 4.435 at-bats. Based on the Snoozle model, Willie Calhoun NA is predicted to have 1.002 RBIs and score 0.855 runs over an estimated 4.558 at-bats.

Based on the +158 odds and an estimated 55.81% chance to win, the Rangers are the best value for the money line. Based on the prediction model's over 59.33% likelihood and -113 odds, the over line with 10.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sun, September 29, 2019 13:04:37 UTC