Yankees Forecasted to Lose at Home to Astros Despite Aaron Judge's Effort

Sat, Oct 12, 2019 | Emma Botos


Masahiro Tanaka
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

October 12, 2019 -- On the road, the Yankees has a 61.07% chance to lose to the Astros from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

This game is a match up between the Yankees's Masahiro Tanaka and the Astros's Zack Greinke. The Yankees's Masahiro Tanaka is predicted to throw for 6.414 innings, allowing 2.854 earned runs, with 5.312 Ks. The Astros starting hurler is predicted to throw for 22.294 outs, allow 2.101 earned runs, and a 0.018 probability of a complete game.

The Yankees's Aaron Judge and the Astros's Yordan Alvarez will slug it out from the plate. The Yankees's Aaron Judge from the plate is forecast to score 0.597 runs, 0.539 RBIs and have a 0.333 OBP. Yordan Alvarez is forecast to bat for 0.292 with 0.880 RBIs and 0.743 runs scored.

There is no best value for Yankees +139 at Astros -158 matchup based on our model's game predictions. With an over/under of 9.0 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 53.98% over likelihood and -102 odds.

Posted at Sat, October 12, 2019 13:02:17 UTC