Yankees's Starting Hurler Masahiro Tanaka with a Forecasted Win Over the Blue Jays

Fri, Sep 13, 2019 | Emma Botos

 Tweet 

Masahiro Tanaka
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

September 13, 2019 -- The Yankees with a 65.13% forecasted chance to beat the Blue Jays on the road based on the Snoozle model.

The Yankees have Masahiro Tanaka as the probable starting pitcher against Anthony Kay. The Yankees's Masahiro Tanaka is predicted to throw for 6.922 innings, allowing 1.997 earned runs, with 7.707 Ks. The Blue Jays starting hurler is predicted to throw for 20.854 outs, allow 2.940 earned runs, and a 0.005 probability of a complete game.

The Yankees's Giovanny Urshela and the Blue Jays's Bo Bichette will slug it out from the plate. The Yankees's Giovanny Urshela from the plate is forecast to score 0.681 run, 0.677 RBIs and have a 0.365 OBP. Based on the Snoozle model, Bo Bichette is predicted to have 0.510 RBIs and score 0.608 runs over an estimated 4.528 at-bats.

Based on the odds and win probabilities, there is no good value on the money line for the Yankees -189 at Blue Jays +165 game. The over/under line of 10.5 runs with -108 over odds and a predicted 54.56% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Fri, September 13, 2019 13:05:06 UTC