Yankees's Starting Hurler James Paxton with a Forecasted Win Over the Red Sox

Mon, Sep 9, 2019 | Emma Botos


James Paxton
Keith Allison from Hanover, MD, USA License

September 9, 2019 -- The Yankees are predicted with a 51.57% for a road win against the Red Sox.

Likely starting pitcher for the Yankees, James Paxton, will be paired with the hosting Red Sox's pitcher Eduardo Rodriguez. The Snoozle model estimates the Yankees pitcher will have an outing for 6.248 innings, allowing 3.247 earned runs, with 3.348 walks. Eduardo Rodriguez is estimated from the model to throw for 6.355 innings, allowing 2.962 earned runs, with 7.232 Ks.

In a hitting matchup, Gleyber Torres of the Yankees will see who can bring in more runs against the at home hitter J.D. Martinez. According to our game model, Gleyber Torres is estimated to have 0.719 RBIs and score 0.720 runs over an estimated 4.162 at-bats. Based on the Snoozle model, J.D. Martinez is predicted to have 0.946 RBIs and score 0.747 runs over an estimated 4.270 at-bats.

Based on the odds and win probabilities, there is no good value on the money line for the Yankees -112 at Red Sox +100 game. Based on the prediction model's over 70.68% likelihood and -120 odds, the over line with 9.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Mon, September 9, 2019 13:03:53 UTC