Tue, Aug 13, 2019 | Emma Botos
The Baltimore Orioles visit the United States Naval Academy in March 2019 This file is a work of a sailor or employee of the U.S. Navy, taken or made as part of that person's official duties. As a work of the U.S. federal government, it is in the public domain in the United States.
United States Naval Academy License
August 13, 2019 -- In a matchup between hitters Brett Gardner and Jonathan Villar, our model estimates the Yankees have an estimated 67.70% likelihood of defeating the Orioles.
This game is setup to be a pitching duel between the Yankees's Domingo German and the Orioles's John Means. Domingo German is estimated from the model to throw for 7.160 innings, allowing 1.602 earned runs, with 6.987 Ks. John Means is estimated to have 2.413 earned runs, 21.665 outs, and 6.550 strike outs.
The Yankees's Mike Tauchman and the Orioles's Trey Mancini will duel it out from the batter's box. Based on the Snoozle model, Mike Tauchman is predicted to have 0.537 RBIs and score 0.564 runs over an estimated 3.619 at-bats. According to our game model, Trey Mancini is estimated to have 0.464 RBIs and score 0.489 runs over an estimated 4.200 at-bats.
The Orioles are the best value for the money line based on the +260 odds and a forecasted 32.30% win estimate. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 74.21% over estimate and -120 line odds for 10.0 runs.
Posted at Tue, August 13, 2019 13:06:08 UTC