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Whit Merrifield's Hitting is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull the Visiting Royals Over the Indians
Sun, Jul 21, 2019 | Emma Botos
Glenn Sparkman of the Omaha Storm Chasers delivers a pitch at Werner Park in Omaha in 2018.
Minda Haas Kuhlmann: flickr, personal website, twitter, instagram License
July 21, 2019 -- On the road, the Royals has a 65.06% chance to lose to the Indians from our Snoozle montecarlo model.
This game is a match up between the Royals's Glenn Sparkman and the Indians's Zach Plesac. The Royals starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 20.640 outs, allow 2.984 earned runs, and a 0.004 probability of a complete game. Our model forecasts the Indians pitcher will have an outing for 6.833 innings, allowing 2.213 earned runs, with a 2.465 walks.
Whit Merrifield, Royals's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Francisco Lindor in today's game. Whit Merrifield 2B is forecast to bring in 0.438 RBIs and 0.578 runs scored, with an 0.334 OBP and 0.814 Ks. According to our game model, Francisco Lindor DH is estimated to bring in 0.705 RBIs and 0.772 runs scored, with an 0.356 OBP and 0.876 Ks.
The Royals are the best value for the money line based on the +190 odds and a forecasted 34.94% win estimate. With a predicted 69.23% likelihood and -120 odds at 11.0 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Sun, July 21, 2019 08:14:01 MST