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Tue, Oct 8, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-10-12 -- West Virginia under perform at home with a 80.7% chance to lose against Iowa State based on our football model.
West Virginia has an average of 13.6 points in our model for the game. West Virginia is estimated from the model to throw for 232.2 yards on 39.2 attempts for 27.0 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.0 touchdowns and 1.6 interceptions. The model estimates West Virginia will run on 25.6 attempts against Iowa State with an estimated total of 74.2 yards and 0.3 rushing touchdowns.
On the road, Iowa State is forecast to score 26.9 points against West Virginia. Our model forecasts Iowa State will pass for 1.8 touchdowns and 1.1 interception against the West Virginia defense on a forecasted 27.6 competitions with 46.8 attempts for 306.8 yards. Iowa State is estimated from the model to rush for 1.1 touchdown against West Virginia with 38.4 rush attempts for 213.7 yards.
Iowa State is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 57.2% likelihood estimate to cover a -10.5 point spread. The over/under line of 55.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 66.7% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Tue, October 8, 2019 17:12:42 UTC