Sat, Oct 31, 2020 | Consuelo Machina
2020-10-31 -- According to our model, VT predicted to over perform on the road against Louisville with a 61.7% chance to win.
Based on the montecarlo model, VT has an average of 26.5 points for the game. Our model forecasts VT will pass for 2.2 touchdowns and 0.7 interceptions against the Louisville defense on a forecasted 19.4 competitions with 36.1 attempts for 356.2 yards. The model predicts VT will rush on 36.1 attempts against Louisville with an estimated total of 196.4 yards and 1.0 running touchdowns.
Louisville is predicted to score 21.6 points on the home turf against VT. Our model forecasts Louisville will pass for 1.0 touchdowns and 2.0 interceptions against the VT defense on a projected 15.7 competitions with 32.7 attempts for 205.3 passing yards. Our model forecasts Louisville will rush for 1.2 touchdowns against the VT defense on 43.5 attempts for a projected 228.9 yards.
For this game, VT is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 61.7% probability to beat the -3.5 point spread. The over/under line of 67.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 76.7% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Sat, October 31, 2020 13:00:25 UTC