Visiting UVA's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Clemson

Sat, Oct 3, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-10-03 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting UVA have a 86.2% chance to lose to the home town Clemson.

Based on the montecarlo model, UVA has an average of 17.2 points for the game. UVA is predicted from the model to throw for 238.8 yards on 28.3 attempts for 21.6 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.4 touchdowns and 2.0 interceptions. Our model forecasts UVA will rush for 0.6 touchdowns against the Clemson defense on 27.9 attempts for a projected 107.9 yards.

At home, Clemson is forecast to score 39.7 points. Clemson is expected to throw for 3.4 touchdowns with 42.1 pass attempts with 32.6 competitions for 463.6 yards, and an estimated 1.6 interceptions. Clemson is forecast to rush for 220.0 yards on 42.1 attempts with an estimated 1.6 rushing touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 62.1% probability to cover a +28.5 spread, UVA is the best value for the ATS bets. According to prediction model the 78.7% over estimate and -110 line odds for 55.0 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Sat, October 3, 2020 13:00:58 UTC