Visiting UTSA's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Texas A&M

Tue, Oct 29, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-02 -- On the road, UTSA has a 93.7% chance to lose to Texas A&M from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

UTSA is estimated to score 11.1 points on the road. Our model forecasts UTSA will pass for 0.4 touchdowns and 0.5 interceptions against the Texas A&M defense on a forecasted 14.2 competitions with 24.1 attempts for 100.2 yards. Our model forecasts UTSA will rush for 0.7 touchdowns against the Texas A&M defense on 28.5 attempts for a projected 178.2 yards.

Texas A&M has an average of 37.8 points in our model for the game. The Snoozle football model estimates Texas A&M will throw 30.5 competitions on 47.4 attempts against UTSA with an estimated 0.8 interceptions for a total of 379.2 yards and 2.8 passing touchdowns. Texas A&M is predicted from the model to run for 1.9 touchdowns against UTSA with 40.3 rush attempts for 261.1 yards.

Based on a predicted 74.7% probability to cover a +38.5 spread, UTSA is the best value for the ATS bets. According to prediction model the 66.2% over estimate and -110 line odds for 53.5 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, October 29, 2019 13:00:42 UTC