Visiting UTEP's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over FIU

Tue, Oct 15, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-10-19 -- UTEP predicted with a 79.6% chance to chalk up a road loss against FIU based on the Snoozle Sports model

Based on the montecarlo model, UTEP has an average of 17.8 points for the game. UTEP is forecast to pass for 1.0 touchdowns on 28.5 pass attempts with 13.7 competitions for 186.4 yards, and a predicted 0.2 interceptions. The model predicts UTEP will rush on 36.8 attempts against FIU with an estimated total of 196.5 yards and 0.9 running touchdowns.

In their hometown, FIU is forecast to score 34.7 points. FIU is estimated from the model to throw for 309.1 yards on 39.4 attempts for 24.3 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 2.1 touchdown and 0.3 interceptions. Our model forecasts FIU will rush for 1.6 touchdowns against the UTEP defense on 46.0 attempts for a projected 246.7 yards.

UTEP is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 61.8% likelihood estimate to cover a +23.5 point spread. Based on the prediction model's over 69.1% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 54.0 runs is the best value.

Posted at Tue, October 15, 2019 17:03:34 UTC