Visiting UNLV's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over San Diego State

Sat, Oct 24, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-10-24 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting UNLV have a 93.2% chance to lose to the home town San Diego State.

UNLV is estimated to score 16.6 points on the road. UNLV is predicted from the model to throw for 262.4 yards on 31.2 attempts for 26.5 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.3 touchdowns and 2.2 interceptions. UNLV is predicted to run for 83.5 yards on 31.4 attempts with an estimated 0.5 touchdowns.

In their hometown, San Diego State is forecast to score 47.9 points. San Diego State is estimated from the model to throw for 518.2 yards on 49.5 attempts for 42.7 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 4.1 touchdown and 1.5 interceptions. San Diego State is predicted from the model to run for 1.8 touchdowns against UNLV with 48.6 rush attempts for 230.8 yards.

San Diego State is the best value for the ATS based on a predicted 76.9% estimated to cover a -14.0 spread. Based on the prediction model's over 93.2% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 50.0 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sat, October 24, 2020 13:01:18 UTC