Visiting Underdog West Virginia Likely Winner Over Iowa State

Sat, Dec 5, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-12-05 -- On the road, West Virginia take Iowa State for a 82.3% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.

Based on the montecarlo model, West Virginia has an average of 27.7 points for the game. West Virginia is predicted from the model to throw for 250.7 yards on 40.8 attempts for 23.5 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.4 touchdowns and 1.9 interceptions. West Virginia is predicted to run for 294.1 yards on 48.4 attempts with an estimated 1.6 touchdowns.

Iowa State is estimated to score 13.7 points at home. Iowa State is expected to throw for 0.9 touchdowns with 40.4 pass attempts with 19.1 competitions for 242.8 yards, and an estimated 1.9 interceptions. Our model forecasts Iowa State will rush for 0.3 touchdowns against the West Virginia defense on 34.1 attempts for a projected 102.3 yards.

Based on a predicted 89.4% probability to cover a +6.5 spread, West Virginia is the best value for the ATS bets. According to prediction model the 55.7% over estimate and -110 line odds for 49.0 runs, the over line is the best value.

Posted at Sat, December 5, 2020 13:00:27 UTC