Visiting Underdog USF Likely Winner Over Cincinnati

Sat, Oct 3, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-10-03 -- The visiting USF has an estimated 69.7% chance to overcome Cincinnati based on our football model.

The Snoozle model forecast USF to score 30.8 points on the road. USF is predicted from the model to throw for 393.8 yards on 40.2 attempts for 29.9 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 2.5 touchdowns and 1.7 interceptions. Our model forecasts USF will rush for 1.1 touchdown against the Cincinnati defense on 40.1 attempts for a projected 179.7 yards.

At home, Cincinnati is forecast to score 21.2 points. The Snoozle football model estimates Cincinnati will throw 21.4 competitions on 33.3 attempts against USF with an estimated 1.8 interceptions for a total of 279.7 yards and 1.6 passing touchdowns. The model estimates Cincinnati will run on 32.9 attempts against USF with an estimated total of 167.6 yards and 0.9 rushing touchdowns.

USF is the best value for the against the spread bets based on a forecasted 95.2% likelihood estimate to cover a +21.0 point spread. Based on the prediction model's over 88.7% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 45.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Sat, October 3, 2020 13:00:58 UTC