Fri, Aug 30, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-08-31 -- The visiting SF Austin has an estimated 52.1% chance to overcome Baylor based on our football model.
Based on the montecarlo model, SF Austin has an average of 15.4 points for the game. Our model forecasts SF Austin will pass for 0.8 touchdowns and 0.8 interceptions against the Baylor defense on a forecasted 19.7 competitions with 43.0 attempts for 216.5 yards. SF Austin is estimated from the model to rush for 0.6 touchdowns against Baylor with 39.9 rush attempts for 152.8 yards.
At home, Baylor is forecast to score 14.9 points. The Snoozle football model estimates Baylor will throw 10.1 competitions on 39.2 attempts against SF Austin with an estimated 0.3 interceptions for a total of 190.6 yards and 0.8 passing touchdowns. Baylor is predicted from the model to run for 0.8 touchdowns against SF Austin with 33.9 rush attempts for 216.5 yards.
Based on a predicted 99.6% probability to cover a +38.0 spread, SF Austin is the best value for the ATS bets. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 93.3% over estimate and -110 line odds for 57.5 runs.
Posted at Fri, August 30, 2019 13:06:10 MST