Tue, Oct 22, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-10-26 -- Miami (OH) with a 80.5% forecasted chance to beat Kent State on the road based on the Snoozle football model.
Based on the montecarlo model, Miami (OH) has an average of 27.1 points for the game. Our model forecasts Miami (OH) will pass for 1.9 touchdowns and 1.2 interceptions against the Kent State defense on a forecasted 20.4 competitions with 40.1 attempts for 308.8 yards. Our model forecasts Miami (OH) will rush for 1.0 touchdowns against the Kent State defense on 48.5 attempts for a projected 203.6 yards.
Kent State has an average of 13.7 points in our model for the game. Our model forecasts Kent State will pass for 0.7 touchdowns and 1.6 interceptions against the Miami (OH) defense on a projected 18.0 competitions with 35.4 attempts for 168.9 passing yards. Our model forecasts Kent State will rush for 0.6 touchdowns against the Miami (OH) defense on 37.3 attempts for a projected 179.3 yards.
For this game, Miami (OH) is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 80.5% probability to beat the +2.5 point spread. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 66.0% over estimate and -110 line odds for 54.5 runs.
Posted at Tue, October 22, 2019 13:01:05 UTC