Visiting Underdog Maine Likely Winner Over Liberty

Sat, Oct 19, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-10-19 -- According to our model, Maine predicted to over perform on the road against Liberty with a 55.5% chance to win.

Maine is predicted to score 17.5 points against their opponent. Maine is forecast to pass for 1.3 touchdowns on 51.5 pass attempts with 23.3 competitions for 272.1 yards, and a predicted 1.4 interceptions. Our model forecasts Maine will rush for 0.3 touchdowns against the Liberty defense on 25.3 attempts for a projected 83.3 yards.

At home, Liberty is forecast to score 16.1 points. Liberty is estimated from the model to throw for 148.5 yards on 45.5 attempts for 13.5 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.6 touchdowns and 1.3 interceptions. Our model forecasts Liberty will rush for 1.0 touchdowns against the Maine defense on 32.5 attempts for a projected 288.6 yards.

Based on a predicted 84.1% probability to cover a +12.5 spread, Maine is the best value for the ATS bets. The over/under line of 43.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 52.8% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Sat, October 19, 2019 13:02:25 UTC