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Visiting Underdog Georgia State Likely Winner Over Arkansas State

Thu, Oct 15, 2020 | Consuelo Machina

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2020-10-15 -- On the road, Georgia State take Arkansas State for a 66.4% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.

The Snoozle model forecast Georgia State to score 40.8 points on the road. The Snoozle football model predicts Georgia State will throw 37.7 competitions on 41.9 attempts against Arkansas State with a forecasted 1.3 interceptions for a total of 474.7 yards and 3.8 touchdowns. Georgia State is estimated from the model to rush for 1.3 touchdowns against Arkansas State with 41.7 rush attempts for 178.0 yards.

Arkansas State has an average of 30.4 points in our model for the game. The Snoozle football model estimates Arkansas State will throw 29.6 competitions on 46.5 attempts against Georgia State with an estimated 1.6 interceptions for a total of 371.8 yards and 2.4 passing touchdowns. The model estimates Arkansas State will run on 31.7 attempts against Georgia State with an estimated total of 193.3 yards and 1.2 rushing touchdowns.

For this game, Georgia State is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 66.4% probability to beat the +3.5 point spread. With an over/under of 72.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 69.5% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Thu, October 15, 2020 13:02:19 UTC