Visiting Underdog Gardner-Webb Likely Winner Over ECU

Wed, Sep 4, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-07 -- Gardner-Webb with a 91.6% forecasted chance to beat ECU on the road based on the Snoozle football model.

Based on the montecarlo model, Gardner-Webb has an average of 25.9 points for the game. Our model forecasts Gardner-Webb will pass for 0.5 touchdowns and 2.1 interception against the ECU defense on a forecasted 10.3 competitions with 39.7 attempts for 100.7 yards. Gardner-Webb is predicted to run for 421.9 yards on 52.1 attempts with an estimated 2.2 touchdowns.

ECU is estimated to score 7.8 points at home. ECU is estimated from the model to throw for 147.7 yards on 41.0 attempts for 17.8 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.4 touchdowns and 0.5 interceptions. The model estimates ECU will run on 20.0 attempts against Gardner-Webb with an estimated total of 68.9 yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns.

An estimated 100.0% likelihood to beat a +27.5 point spread, the best value is on Gardner-Webb in their matchup against ECU. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 88.6% over estimate and -110 line odds for 58.5 runs.

Posted at Wed, September 4, 2019 22:00:48 MST