Visiting UMass's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over FIU

Tue, Oct 1, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-10-05 -- UMass has an estimated 89.6% likelihood to lose to FIU based on our model.

UMass is estimated to score 14.7 points on the road. UMass is forecast to pass for 0.8 touchdowns on 29.6 pass attempts with 17.3 competitions for 160.3 yards, and a predicted 1.3 interceptions. Our model forecasts UMass will rush for 0.8 touchdowns against the FIU defense on 31.9 attempts for a projected 174.3 yards.

At home, FIU is forecast to score 43.1 points. FIU is expected to throw for 3.2 touchdowns with 44.7 pass attempts with 31.3 competitions for 389.2 yards, and an estimated 0.9 interceptions. The model estimates FIU will run on 43.7 attempts against UMass with an estimated total of 233.7 yards and 1.9 rushing touchdowns.

According to the odds and a forecasted 53.3% chance to beat the -26.0 point spread, FIU is the best value. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 67.0 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.

Posted at Tue, October 1, 2019 13:01:15 UTC