Visiting UConn's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over UCF

Thu, Sep 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-09-28 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, UConn is likely to fail on the road with a 99.5% chance of being correct against UCF.

Based on the montecarlo model, UConn has an average of 5.9 points for the game. Our model forecasts UConn will pass for 0.2 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions against the UCF defense on a forecasted 13.1 competitions with 27.7 attempts for 107.8 yards. UConn is predicted to run for 79.9 yards on 28.5 attempts with an estimated 0.2 touchdowns.

At home, UCF is forecast to score 46.9 points. UCF is expected to throw for 2.8 touchdowns with 43.3 pass attempts with 26.7 competitions for 382.2 yards, and an estimated 1.0 interceptions. Our model forecasts UCF will rush for 2.7 touchdowns against the UConn defense on 61.7 attempts for a projected 358.3 yards.

An estimated 54.4% likelihood to beat a +42.5 point spread, the best value is on UConn in their matchup against UCF. The over/under line of 64.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 56.7% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Thu, September 26, 2019 03:47:51 UTC