Visiting UCLA's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Utah

Tue, Nov 12, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-16 -- UCLA has an estimated 92.7% likelihood to lose to Utah based on our model.

On the road, UCLA is forecast to score 9.2 points against Utah. Our model forecasts UCLA will pass for 0.4 touchdowns and 0.0 interceptions against the Utah defense on a forecasted 13.8 competitions with 24.5 attempts for 126.5 yards. The model predicts UCLA will rush on 27.2 attempts against Utah with an estimated total of 97.6 yards and 0.4 running touchdowns.

Utah is estimated to score 31.3 points at home. Our model forecasts Utah will pass for 2.4 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions against the UCLA defense on a projected 22.9 competitions with 32.2 attempts for 355.1 passing yards. Utah is predicted from the model to run for 1.3 touchdowns against UCLA with 53.8 rush attempts for 213.1 yards.

Based on the odds and probabilities to cover the spread, there is no good value on the ATS for UCLA (+21.0) at Utah game. With a predicted 64.9% likelihood and -110 odds at 54.0 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, November 12, 2019 13:00:40 UTC