Tue, Oct 1, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-10-04 -- UCF with a 75.3% forecasted chance to beat Cincinnati on the road based on the Snoozle football model.
On the road, UCF is forecast to score 26.0 points against Cincinnati. The Snoozle football model predicts UCF will throw 16.4 competitions on 35.2 attempts against Cincinnati with a forecasted 0.7 interceptions for a total of 259.9 yards and 1.5 touchdowns. UCF is estimated from the model to rush for 1.3 touchdowns against Cincinnati with 45.9 rush attempts for 224.8 yards.
Cincinnati has an average of 14.4 points in our model for the game. The Snoozle football model estimates Cincinnati will throw 15.4 competitions on 27.7 attempts against UCF with an estimated 0.7 interceptions for a total of 183.6 yards and 0.8 passing touchdowns. Cincinnati is predicted from the model to run for 0.6 touchdowns against UCF with 41.3 rush attempts for 146.2 yards.
Based on a predicted 64.4% probability to cover a -4.5 spread, UCF is the best value for the ATS bets. The over/under line of 60.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 79.2% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Tue, October 1, 2019 13:01:15 UTC