Visiting Twins Hurler Randy Dobnak Predicted Loser Against Indians

Sun, Sep 15, 2019 | Emma Botos


Cleveland Indians pitcher Shane Bieber warms up in the bullpen at Progressive Field in 2018
Erik Drost on Flickr License

September 15, 2019 -- On the road, the Twins has a 62.58% chance to lose to the Indians from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

This game is a match up between the Twins's Randy Dobnak and the Indians's Shane Bieber. The Snoozle model estimates the Twins pitcher will have an outing for 6.355 innings, allowing 2.955 earned runs, with 3.247 walks. Shane Bieber is estimated from the model to throw for 7.015 innings, allowing 1.878 earned runs, with 6.959 Ks.

The Twins's Nelson Cruz and the Indians's Francisco Lindor will slug it out from the plate. Nelson Cruz RF is forecast to bring in 0.641 RBIs and 0.563 runs scored, with an 0.318 OBP and 1.203 Ks. According to our game model, Francisco Lindor is estimated to bring in 0.729 RBIs and 0.778 runs scored, with an 0.350 OBP and 0.743 Ks.

Based on the -141 odds and an estimated 62.58% chance to win, the Indians are the best value for the money line. With an over/under of 8.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 57.05% over likelihood and -106 odds.

Posted at Sun, September 15, 2019 13:04:38 UTC