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Tue, Nov 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-11-30 -- Tulsa with a 60.2% forecasted chance to beat ECU on the road based on the Snoozle football model.
Based on the montecarlo model, Tulsa has an average of 29.8 points for the game. Tulsa is predicted from the model to throw for 378.1 yards on 42.3 attempts for 24.9 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 2.4 touchdowns and 0.7 interceptions. Tulsa is predicted to run for 199.9 yards on 42.9 attempts with an estimated 1.1 touchdown.
In their hometown, ECU is forecast to score 23.6 points. ECU is estimated from the model to throw for 303.4 yards on 41.3 attempts for 22.7 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 1.7 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions. Our model forecasts ECU will rush for 0.8 touchdowns against the Tulsa defense on 33.7 attempts for a projected 150.7 yards.
Based on the odds and probabilities to cover the spread, there is no good value on the ATS for Tulsa (-5.5) at ECU game. Based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 61.0 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.
Posted at Tue, November 26, 2019 13:00:43 UTC