Visiting Tulsa's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over UCF

Sat, Oct 3, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-10-03 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, Tulsa is likely to fail on the road with a 87.4% chance of being correct against UCF.

Tulsa is predicted to score 22.1 points against their opponent. Our model forecasts Tulsa will pass for 1.7 touchdowns and 1.8 interceptions against the UCF defense on a forecasted 26.6 competitions with 34.5 attempts for 296.1 yards. Our model forecasts Tulsa will rush for 0.8 touchdowns against the UCF defense on 34.2 attempts for a projected 151.8 yards.

UCF has an average of 47.4 points in our model for the game. UCF is expected to throw for 4.1 touchdown with 49.1 pass attempts with 40.7 competitions for 514.1 yards, and an estimated 1.6 interceptions. UCF is predicted from the model to run for 1.9 touchdowns against Tulsa with 49.2 rush attempts for 250.8 yards.

For this game UCF are the best value on the against the spread bets with a forecasted 55.3% chance to beat a -21.0 spread. With an over/under of 70.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 70.8% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Sat, October 3, 2020 13:00:58 UTC