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Fri, Aug 30, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-08-31 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Toledo have a 62.0% chance to lose to the home town Kentucky.
On the road, Toledo is forecast to score 15.5 points against Kentucky. The Snoozle football model predicts Toledo will throw 15.3 competitions on 31.5 attempts against Kentucky with a forecasted 0.6 interceptions for a total of 154.4 yards and 0.7 touchdowns. Our model forecasts Toledo will rush for 0.8 touchdowns against the Kentucky defense on 36.4 attempts for a projected 206.1 yards.
Kentucky is predicted to score 20.6 points on the home turf against Toledo. Kentucky is estimated from the model to throw for 136.3 yards on 28.1 attempts for 16.3 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.8 touchdowns and 0.2 interceptions. The model estimates Kentucky will run on 42.9 attempts against Toledo with an estimated total of 228.6 yards and 1.2 rushing touchdowns.
Based on a predicted 66.6% probability to cover a +11.5 spread, Toledo is the best value for the ATS bets. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 85.7% over estimate and -110 line odds for 58.5 runs.
Posted at Fri, August 30, 2019 13:06:10 MST