Visiting Toledo's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Buffalo

Tue, Nov 19, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-20 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Toledo have a 69.8% chance to lose to the home town Buffalo.

Toledo is estimated to score 16.8 points on the road. The Snoozle football model predicts Toledo will throw 15.1 competitions on 26.0 attempts against Buffalo with a forecasted 0.3 interceptions for a total of 199.7 yards and 1.0 touchdowns. The model predicts Toledo will rush on 36.8 attempts against Buffalo with an estimated total of 153.0 yards and 0.7 running touchdowns.

In their hometown, Buffalo is forecast to score 26.2 points. The Snoozle football model estimates Buffalo will throw 14.4 competitions on 28.1 attempts against Toledo with an estimated 0.5 interceptions for a total of 174.6 yards and 1.1 passing touchdown . Buffalo is forecast to rush for 343.3 yards on 57.5 attempts with an estimated 1.9 rushing touchdowns.

Based on the odds and probabilities to cover the spread, there is no good value on the ATS for Toledo (+8.0) at Buffalo game. With a predicted 56.9% likelihood and -110 odds at 54.5 runs, the under line is the best value.

Posted at Tue, November 19, 2019 13:00:43 UTC