Sat, Oct 10, 2020 | Consuelo Machina
2020-10-10 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, Texas Tech is likely to fail on the road with a 74.1% chance of being correct against Iowa State.
Based on the montecarlo model, Texas Tech has an average of 12.4 points for the game. Our model forecasts Texas Tech will pass for 0.8 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions against the Iowa State defense on a forecasted 24.3 competitions with 32.3 attempts for 157.6 yards. Texas Tech is predicted to run for 134.8 yards on 32.5 attempts with an estimated 0.4 touchdowns.
Iowa State is predicted to score 20.9 points on the home turf against Texas Tech. Iowa State is expected to throw for 1.1 touchdown with 49.4 pass attempts with 22.3 competitions for 235.0 yards, and an estimated 2.2 interceptions. Iowa State is predicted from the model to run for 0.8 touchdowns against Texas Tech with 46.4 rush attempts for 202.4 yards.
Based on a predicted 59.2% probability to cover a +11.5 spread, Texas Tech is the best value for the ATS bets. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 96.0% over estimate and -110 line odds for 64.5 runs.
Posted at Sat, October 10, 2020 13:00:44 UTC