Visiting Texas Tech's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Texas

Tue, Nov 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-29 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, Texas Tech is likely to fail on the road with a 68.7% chance of being correct against Texas.

On the road, Texas Tech is forecast to score 22.6 points against Texas. Texas Tech is forecast to pass for 1.7 touchdowns on 40.7 pass attempts with 25.9 competitions for 297.2 yards, and a predicted 0.6 interceptions. Texas Tech is estimated from the model to rush for 0.8 touchdowns against Texas with 29.9 rush attempts for 145.7 yards.

Texas is estimated to score 33.9 points at home. Texas is expected to throw for 2.8 touchdowns with 48.9 pass attempts with 32.2 competitions for 433.5 yards, and an estimated 0.6 interceptions. Our model forecasts Texas will rush for 1.3 touchdowns against the Texas Tech defense on 36.7 attempts for a projected 200.8 yards.

Based on the odds and probabilities to cover the spread, there is no good value on the ATS for Texas Tech (+10.0) at Texas game. With an over/under of 63.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 58.2% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Tue, November 26, 2019 13:00:43 UTC