Visiting Texas State's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over BYU

Sat, Oct 24, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-10-24 -- Texas State has an estimated 82.1% likelihood to lose to BYU based on our model.

On the road, Texas State is forecast to score 25.8 points against BYU. Texas State is predicted from the model to throw for 317.2 yards on 31.4 attempts for 20.4 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 2.2 touchdowns and 2.6 interceptions. Texas State is predicted to run for 156.9 yards on 28.3 attempts with an estimated 0.9 touchdowns.

At home, BYU is forecast to score 49.2 points. BYU is expected to throw for 4.8 touchdowns with 48.0 pass attempts with 42.4 competitions for 613.7 yards, and an estimated 1.2 interceptions. The model estimates BYU will run on 42.9 attempts against Texas State with an estimated total of 198.1 yards and 1.6 rushing touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 56.7% probability to cover a +28.5 spread, Texas State is the best value for the ATS bets. With an over/under of 60.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 95.5% over likelihood and -110 odds.

Posted at Sat, October 24, 2020 13:01:18 UTC