Visiting Texas's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Baylor

Tue, Nov 19, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-23 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Texas have a 69.3% chance to lose to the home town Baylor.

The Snoozle model forecast Texas to score 20.7 points on the road. Our model forecasts Texas will pass for 1.4 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions against the Baylor defense on a forecasted 25.6 competitions with 40.7 attempts for 247.4 yards. Texas is estimated from the model to rush for 0.8 touchdowns against Baylor with 30.1 rush attempts for 165.2 yards.

In their hometown, Baylor is forecast to score 30.6 points. Our model forecasts Baylor will pass for 2.3 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions against the Texas defense on a projected 28.4 competitions with 43.2 attempts for 360.5 passing yards. Baylor is predicted from the model to run for 1.3 touchdowns against Texas with 39.4 rush attempts for 218.2 yards.

With an estimated 58.1% likelihood to pass a -6.0 spread, the best value is on Baylor over Texas against the spread. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 60.0 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.

Posted at Tue, November 19, 2019 13:00:43 UTC