Visiting TCU's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Oklahoma

Tue, Nov 19, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-23 -- TCU predicted with a 80.5% chance to chalk up a road loss against Oklahoma based on the Snoozle Sports model

Based on the montecarlo model, TCU has an average of 17.6 points for the game. The Snoozle football model predicts TCU will throw 16.4 competitions on 28.8 attempts against Oklahoma with a forecasted 1.0 interceptions for a total of 172.6 yards and 1.0 touchdowns. TCU is estimated from the model to rush for 0.8 touchdowns against Oklahoma with 32.7 rush attempts for 173.3 yards.

Oklahoma has an average of 35.7 points in our model for the game. The Snoozle football model estimates Oklahoma will throw 21.9 competitions on 36.0 attempts against TCU with an estimated 0.3 interceptions for a total of 350.2 yards and 2.6 passing touchdowns. Our model forecasts Oklahoma will rush for 1.8 touchdowns against the TCU defense on 42.9 attempts for a projected 262.7 yards.

Based on the odds and probabilities to cover the spread, there is no good value on the ATS for TCU (+18.5) at Oklahoma game. The over/under line of 65.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 55.6% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Tue, November 19, 2019 13:00:43 UTC