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Visiting Royals Hurler Shane Bieber Predicted Loser Against Royals
Fri, Jul 19, 2019 | Emma Botos
Cubs at Orioles 7/14/17
Keith Allison License
July 19, 2019 -- On the road, the Royals has a 85.43% chance to lose to the Indians from our Snoozle montecarlo model.
Likely visiting starter Shane Bieber will will duel it out with the Indians probable starter Mike Montgomery. The Royals starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 19.493 outs, allow 3.735 earned runs, and a 0.002 probability of a complete game. Our model forecasts the Indians pitcher will have an outing for 7.264 innings, allowing 1.644 earned runs, with a 1.981 walk.
Whit Merrifield, Royals's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Carlos Santana in today's game. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Whit Merrifield is predicted to bat for 0.251 with 0.359 RBIs and 0.422 runs scored. According to our game model, Carlos Santana 1B is estimated to bring in 0.913 RBIs and 0.928 runs scored, with an 0.456 OBP and 0.778 Ks.
For this matchup Indians are the best value on the money line bets with on the -270 home ML odds and a forecasted 85.43% chance to win. Based on the over(-115)/under(-105) odds, the 9.5 runs for this line, and our model's predicted combined score estimate, there is no good over/under value.
Posted at Fri, July 19, 2019 13:17:39 MST