Fri, Aug 30, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-08-30 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, Rice is likely to fail on the road with a 77.9% chance of being correct against Army.
The Snoozle model forecast Rice to score 9.5 points on the road. Rice is forecast to pass for 0.5 touchdowns on 24.4 pass attempts with 12.1 competitions for 121.6 yards, and a predicted 0.1 interceptions. The model predicts Rice will rush on 27.9 attempts against Army with an estimated total of 105.3 yards and 0.3 running touchdowns.
In their hometown, Army is forecast to score 19.9 points. Our model forecasts Army will pass for 0.6 touchdowns and 0.1 interceptions against the Rice defense on a projected 4.9 competitions with 8.9 attempts for 101.0 passing yards. Our model forecasts Army will rush for 1.5 touchdowns against the Rice defense on 67.8 attempts for a projected 330.4 yards.
Based on a predicted 82.3% probability to cover a +23.5 spread, Rice is the best value for the ATS bets. The over/under line of 50.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 86.5% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Fri, August 30, 2019 11:52:36 MST