Visiting Rays Hurler Blake Snell Predicted Loser Against Astros

Sat, Oct 5, 2019 | Emma Botos


Blake Snell (left) and Wilson Ramos of the Tampa Bay Rays wearing Mothers' Day uniforms before a game against the Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards in Baltimore in 2018
Keith Allison: Flickr, e-mail, Twitter, Instagram, website License

October 5, 2019 -- Based on the Snoozle MLB model, the Rays are likely to fail on the road with a 80.22% chance of being correct against the Astros.

The Rays have Blake Snell as the probable starting pitcher against Gerrit Cole. The Rays's Blake Snell is predicted to throw for 6.304 innings, allowing 3.059 earned runs, with 5.564 Ks. The Snoozle MLB model estimates Gerrit Cole will have 1.399 earned runs, a predicted 23.762 outs, and 6.566 strike outs.

Austin Meadows, Rays's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Yordan Alvarez in today's game. The Rays's Austin Meadows from the plate is forecast to score 0.444 runs, 0.362 RBIs and have a 0.276 OBP. Based on the Snoozle model, Yordan Alvarez is predicted to have 0.926 RBIs and score 0.774 runs over an estimated 4.047 at-bats.

For this matchup Astros are the best value on the money line bets with on the -321 home ML odds and a forecasted 80.22% chance to win. With an over/under of 7.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 60.99% over likelihood and -101 odds.

Posted at Sat, October 5, 2019 13:01:11 UTC