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Tue, Oct 1, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-10-05 -- According to the Snoozle model, the visiting Purdue have a 88.5% chance to lose to the home town Penn State.
Based on the montecarlo model, Purdue has an average of 17.3 points for the game. Purdue is forecast to pass for 1.4 touchdowns on 37.1 pass attempts with 22.1 competitions for 256.3 yards, and a predicted 1.1 interception. Purdue is estimated from the model to rush for 0.2 touchdowns against Penn State with 19.7 rush attempts for 22.6 yards.
Penn State is estimated to score 41.7 points at home. The Snoozle football model estimates Penn State will throw 27.4 competitions on 41.0 attempts against Purdue with an estimated 0.8 interceptions for a total of 426.0 yards and 3.0 passing touchdowns. Penn State is predicted from the model to run for 2.2 touchdowns against Purdue with 52.4 rush attempts for 305.0 yards.
Based on a predicted 58.1% probability to cover a +28.0 spread, Purdue is the best value for the ATS bets. Based on the prediction model's over 81.7% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 55.5 runs is the best value.
Posted at Tue, October 1, 2019 13:01:15 UTC