Visiting Purdue's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Wisconsin

Tue, Nov 19, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-23 -- Purdue has an estimated 84.3% likelihood to lose to Wisconsin based on our model.

Purdue is estimated to score 11.5 points on the road. Our model forecasts Purdue will pass for 0.8 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions against the Wisconsin defense on a forecasted 16.9 competitions with 32.4 attempts for 187.2 yards. The model predicts Purdue will rush on 19.9 attempts against Wisconsin with an estimated total of 79.7 yards and 0.3 running touchdowns.

Wisconsin is estimated to score 26.9 points at home. Wisconsin is expected to throw for 1.4 touchdowns with 31.8 pass attempts with 21.6 competitions for 227.3 yards, and an estimated 1.0 interceptions. Wisconsin is forecast to rush for 267.6 yards on 49.3 attempts with an estimated 1.6 rushing touchdowns.

For this game, Purdue is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 15.7% probability to beat the +24.5 point spread. There is no good value for this game's over/under bet, our model's predictions show no clear favorite based on the over(-110)/under(-110) odds, the 48.0 runs, and our model's predicted combined score estimate.

Posted at Tue, November 19, 2019 13:00:43 UTC