Mon, Aug 5, 2019 | Emma Botos
Vince Velasquez of the Philadelphia Phillies, July 16, 2016.
D. Benjamin Miller License
August 5, 2019 -- On the road, the Phillies has a 58.82% chance to lose to the Diamondbacks from our Snoozle montecarlo model.
The Phillies have Vince Velasquez as the probable starting pitcher against Merrill Kelly. The Phillies starting pitcher is forecasted by our model to throw for 21.001 outs, allow 2.811 earned runs, and a 0.007 probability of a complete game. Merrill Kelly is estimated from the model to throw for 6.685 innings, allowing 2.413 earned runs, with 6.466 Ks.
Jean Segura, Phillies's top hitter, will slug it out on the road against Jarrod Dyson in today's game. Based on the Snoozle MLB model, Jean Segura is predicted to bat for 0.238 with 0.529 RBIs and 0.671 run scored. The Diamondbacks's Jarrod Dyson CF is estimated to score 0.787 runs, 0.651 RBIs and have a 0.377 OBP.
The Diamondbacks are the best value for the money line based on the -115 odds and a predicted 58.82% win estimate. With a predicted 59.20% likelihood and -115 odds at 9.5 runs, the under line is the best value.
Posted at Mon, August 5, 2019 20:35:29 MST