Tue, Sep 17, 2019 | Emma Botos
Vince Velasquez of the Philadelphia Phillies, July 16, 2016.
D. Benjamin Miller License
September 17, 2019 -- The Phillies predicted with a 55.10% chance to chalk up a road loss against the Braves based on the Snoozle Sports model
This game is a match up between the Phillies's Vince Velasquez and the Braves's Dallas Keuchel. Vince Velasquez is estimated to have 3.175 earned runs, 20.279 outs, and 5.634 strike outs. The Braves starting hurler is predicted to throw for 20.733 outs, allow 2.993 earned runs, and a 0.005 probability of a complete game.
Sluggers J.T. Realmuto from the Phillies and Freddie Freeman from the Braves will lead the their teams from the batter's box. According to our game model, J.T. Realmuto is estimated to have 0.683 RBIs and score 0.707 runs over an estimated 4.628 at-bats. Based on the Snoozle model, Freddie Freeman 1B is predicted to have 0.827 RBIs and score 0.819 runs over an estimated 4.311 at-bats.
The Phillies are the best value for the money line based on the +170 odds and a forecasted 44.90% win estimate. With an over/under of 9.5 runs, according to our model the over is best value based its 63.79% over likelihood and -120 odds.
Posted at Tue, September 17, 2019 13:05:02 UTC