Visiting OSU Expected Winner Over Michigan

Tue, Nov 26, 2019 | Consuelo Machina


2019-11-30 -- On the road, OSU take Michigan for a 76.8% likelihood to win based on the Snoozle football model.

Based on the montecarlo model, OSU has an average of 23.7 points for the game. Our model forecasts OSU will pass for 1.2 touchdowns and 0.6 interceptions against the Michigan defense on a forecasted 20.2 competitions with 32.8 attempts for 234.6 yards. Our model forecasts OSU will rush for 1.3 touchdowns against the Michigan defense on 48.2 attempts for a projected 243.5 yards.

Michigan is predicted to score 12.9 points on the home turf against OSU. Michigan is estimated from the model to throw for 190.3 yards on 31.0 attempts for 16.0 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 0.8 touchdowns and 0.4 interceptions. Michigan is predicted from the model to run for 0.4 touchdowns against OSU with 32.4 rush attempts for 116.8 yards.

Based on a predicted 53.8% probability to cover a -9.5 spread, OSU is the best value for the ATS bets. The over/under line of 52.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 70.4% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Tue, November 26, 2019 13:00:43 UTC