Visiting Oregon's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Wisconsin

Wed, Jan 1, 2020 | Consuelo Machina


2020-01-01 -- Oregon has an estimated 60.3% likelihood to lose to Wisconsin based on our model.

The Snoozle model forecast Oregon to score 20.6 points on the road. Oregon is predicted from the model to throw for 204.1 yards on 29.7 attempts for 16.5 competitions. In the matchup, the offense is predicted to throw 1.3 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions. Oregon is predicted to run for 167.4 yards on 35.0 attempts with an estimated 0.9 touchdowns.

In their hometown, Wisconsin is forecast to score 24.7 points. The Snoozle football model estimates Wisconsin will throw 17.8 competitions on 30.2 attempts against Oregon with an estimated 0.6 interceptions for a total of 215.6 yards and 1.3 passing touchdowns. Wisconsin is forecast to rush for 245.7 yards on 45.1 attempts with an estimated 1.5 rushing touchdowns.

With an estimated 57.5% likelihood to pass a -2.5 spread, the best value is on Wisconsin over Oregon against the spread. Based on the prediction model's over 60.3% likelihood and -110 odds, the over line with 51.5 runs is the best value.

Posted at Wed, January 1, 2020 13:00:50 UTC