Tue, Sep 3, 2019 | Consuelo Machina
2019-09-02 -- The visiting Notre Dame has an estimated 94.2% chance to overcome Louisville based on our football model.
Based on the montecarlo model, Notre Dame has an average of 32.8 points for the game. Our model forecasts Notre Dame will pass for 1.9 touchdowns and 0.4 interceptions against the Louisville defense on a forecasted 27.6 competitions with 45.1 attempts for 299.4 yards. The model predicts Notre Dame will rush on 51.3 attempts against Louisville with an estimated total of 304.1 yards and 1.8 running touchdowns.
Louisville has an average of 9.9 points in our model for the game. Louisville is expected to throw for 0.4 touchdowns with 32.7 pass attempts with 15.2 competitions for 129.3 yards, and an estimated 0.3 interceptions. Louisville is forecast to rush for 115.1 yards on 26.2 attempts with an estimated 0.4 rushing touchdowns.
For this game, Notre Dame is the best value against the spread bets with on a predicted 94.2% probability to beat the -20.5 point spread. The over/under line of 59.5 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 70.3% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.
Posted at Tue, September 3, 2019 19:12:47 MST