Visiting Notre Dame's Offense is Expected to Not Be Enough to Pull Over Alabama

Fri, Jan 1, 2021 | Consuelo Machina


2021-01-01 -- On the road, Notre Dame has a 80.2% chance to lose to Alabama from our Snoozle montecarlo model.

Notre Dame is estimated to score 15.6 points on the road. Notre Dame is forecast to pass for 0.8 touchdowns on 30.1 pass attempts with 16.6 competitions for 175.0 yards, and a predicted 0.2 interceptions. Notre Dame is predicted to run for 161.0 yards on 33.2 attempts with an estimated 0.7 touchdowns.

Alabama is predicted to score 30.5 points on the home turf against Notre Dame. Alabama is expected to throw for 2.3 touchdowns with 40.8 pass attempts with 24.9 competitions for 343.3 yards, and an estimated 0.4 interceptions. The model estimates Alabama will run on 38.9 attempts against Notre Dame with an estimated total of 194.7 yards and 1.2 rushing touchdowns.

Based on a predicted 59.4% probability to cover a +19.5 spread, Notre Dame is the best value for the ATS bets. The over/under line of 66.0 runs with -110 over odds and a predicted 79.6% over likelihood, the under bet is the best value for this game.

Posted at Fri, January 1, 2021 13:00:19 UTC