Sat, Oct 24, 2020 | Consuelo Machina
2020-10-24 -- Based on the Snoozle montecarlo football model, North Carolina St is likely to fail on the road with a 86.2% chance of being correct against UNC.
The Snoozle model forecast North Carolina St to score 14.8 points on the road. North Carolina St is forecast to pass for 0.9 touchdowns on 32.5 pass attempts with 21.4 competitions for 180.7 yards, and a predicted 2.0 interceptions. The model predicts North Carolina St will rush on 32.4 attempts against UNC with an estimated total of 122.0 yards and 0.5 running touchdowns.
At home, UNC is forecast to score 32.1 points. UNC is estimated from the model to throw for 353.9 yards on 52.6 attempts for 38.4 competitions. In the game, the team is predicted to throw 2.0 touchdowns and 1.4 interceptions. The model estimates UNC will run on 45.3 attempts against North Carolina St with an estimated total of 251.2 yards and 1.6 rushing touchdowns.
According to the odds and a forecasted 57.7% chance to beat the -14.5 point spread, UNC is the best value. For this game, the under is the best value; the model predicted a 61.2% over estimate and -110 line odds for 60.5 runs.
Posted at Sat, October 24, 2020 13:01:18 UTC